Sport Picks
USM Alger vs Mostaganem
Algeria
Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers 
Match Events
9'
9'
Benayad R.
(Penalty)
19'
19'
Boutaoui M.
Penalty Missed
21'
21'
Mahrouz R.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
35%
22%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- USM Alger have won more games recently than Mostaganem.
- Win probability leans USM Alger's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Mostaganem Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Alger | Mostaganem |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.93 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Mostaganem
1:1
Nov 17, 2025 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs USM Alger
2:2
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Mostaganem
1:0
Oct 22, 2024 Ligue 1
Mostaganem vs USM Alger
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USM Alger Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96
Mostaganem Compare
Top Goalscorer Laireche F. H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Alger 95 / 100
Mostaganem 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Alger Mostaganem
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Mostaganem conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
USM Alger found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
USM Alger went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USM Alger VS Mostaganem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.6
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 80%
13% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Alger
(Home) 15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1 CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0 USM Alger
Page 1 of 7
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1 CR Belouizdad
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2 Paradou
19 May
USM Alger
1 : 0 Olympique Akbou
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
09 May
USM Alger
1 : 0 Zamalek
Page 1 of 3
Mostaganem
(Away) 05 Jun
Mostaganem
2 : 2 El Bayadh
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
07 May
Mostaganem
0 : 4 Saoura
10 Apr
Mostaganem
0 : 3 Khenchela
Page 1 of 6
19 May
ES Ben Aknoun
3 : 0 Mostaganem
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
05 Apr
CR Belouizdad
7 : 0 Mostaganem
13 Mar
ASO Chlef
1 : 0 Mostaganem
28 Feb
ES Setif
3 : 0 Mostaganem
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MC Alger | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 41:18 | 65 |
| 2 | Saoura | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 40:26 | 55 |
| 3 | CR Belouizdad | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 47:24 | 53 |
| 4 | Oran | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 49 |
| 5 | Kabylie | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 6 | Olympique Akbou | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 34:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Khenchela | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 44 |
| 8 | ES Ben Aknoun | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 41:39 | 43 |
| 9 | Constantine | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:30 | 43 |
| 10 | USM Alger | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 34:29 | 39 |
| 11 | ES Setif | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 12 | Rouisset | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:35 | 36 |
| 13 | ASO Chlef | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 14 | Paradou | 30 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 35:54 | 24 |
| 15 | Mostaganem | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 18:52 | 19 |
| 16 | El Bayadh | 30 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 17:40 | 17 |
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
