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USM Alger vs Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USM Alger host Oran in the Ligue 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: USM Alger at 1.14 goals for, 0.89 against; Oran at 1 for, 0.86 against. Head-to-head, USM Alger have won 1 to Oran's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 0.63) point toward Oran. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
USM Alger
30%
Draws
27%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • USM Alger haven't matched Oran's recent run of results.
  • USM Alger are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%
Oran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger Oran
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 8
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
0:0
Jun 6, 2026 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
2:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs USM Alger
4:0
Dec 26, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Oran
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 36 / 100
Oran 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: USM Alger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

USM Alger scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Oran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS Oran
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 13%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
31 Oct
Constantine
0 : 2
USM Alger
25 Oct
USM Alger
:
Panthers
24 Oct
USM Alger
2 : 2
CR Belouizdad
20 Oct
Panthers
:
USM Alger
13 Oct
USM Alger
1 : 0
Saoura
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Oran

(Away)
04 Nov
MC Alger
2 : 0
Oran
30 Oct
Oran
0 : 0
Olympique Akbou
23 Oct
JS El Biar
0 : 0
Oran
17 Oct
Oran
1 : 0
Khenchela
13 Oct
Biskra
0 : 1
Oran
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 7 5 2 0 12:7 17
2 Kabylie 7 5 1 1 11:3 16
3 MC Alger 6 5 1 0 9:1 16
4 Oran 8 4 3 1 5:2 15
5 USM Alger 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
6 Rouisset 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
7 Olympique Akbou 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
8 CR Temouchent 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
9 ES Setif 7 2 2 3 9:7 8
10 JS El Biar 8 2 2 4 12:12 8
11 ES Ben Aknoun 7 1 5 1 8:8 8
12 Constantine 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
13 Khenchela 7 1 2 4 3:8 5
14 ASO Chlef 8 0 4 4 7:13 4
15 Saoura 7 0 3 4 0:7 3
16 Biskra 8 0 3 5 4:14 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)