Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Radouani S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
35%
23%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- USM Alger haven't matched Saoura's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on USM Alger taking it.
- Saoura arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 68%
Saoura Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Alger | Saoura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 14 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs Saoura
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Saoura
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs USM Alger
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Ligue 1
Saoura vs USM Alger
2:1
Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs Saoura
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USM Alger Compare
Top Goalscorer Radouani S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Saoura Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Alger 95 / 100
Saoura 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Alger Saoura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USM Alger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: USM Alger remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
USM Alger's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Saoura's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
USM Alger VS Saoura
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Alger
(Home) 19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3 USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0 JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0 USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0 USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2 USM Alger
Page 1 of 7
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0 JS El Biar
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1 CR Belouizdad
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2 Paradou
19 May
USM Alger
1 : 0 Olympique Akbou
12 May
USM Alger
1 : 1 Mostaganem
Page 1 of 4
Saoura
(Away) 18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0 Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
04 Sept
Saoura
1 : 0 Horoya
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1 Saoura
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
JS El Biar
4 : 0 Saoura
13 Sept
Horoya
3 : 1 Saoura
11 Aug
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2 Saoura
06 Aug
Harrach
1 : 1 Saoura
20 May
El Bayadh
0 : 0 Saoura
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
CA Batna 2
Annaba 1
Kolea 1
Bordj Menail 0
Paradou 3
Adrar 0
USF Constantine 4
Metlili Chaamba 2
Frenda 2
Mila 1
ASO Chlef 1
Sidi Abdelmoumen 0
MB Barika 1
Marsa El Hadjadj 0
Saida 3
Telaghema 0
MO Bejaia 1
Harrach 2
Kabylie 7
MB Hassi Messaoud 0
Magra 0
USM Alger 1
MO Constantine 3
Kais 1
Sidi Ali Boussidi 0
Arba 1
Oran 1
Mostaganem 2
Bethioua 0
Saoura 1
Khroub 2
Olympique Akbou 0
Constantine 4
JS El Biar 1
CR Temouchent 1
Hamaissa 0
Bechar Djedid 4
GC Mascara 3
ES Setif 1
Beni Thamou 0
Tessala 0
Bejaia 1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 3
Naama 0
Beni Oulbane 0
Amal Bou Saada 1
Hussein Dey 3
Sedrata 0
Wifaq Ain Benian 2
SC Mecheria 1
CR Belouizdad 2
Oued Fodda 1
Ain Kercha 1
Illizi 0
Beni Thour 1
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 1
El Bayadh 0
Khenchela 1
Rouisset 0
ES Ben Aknoun 2
RA Ain Defla 0
ESF Bir El Ater 2
Kadiria 0
1/16-finals
CA Batna 5
Kolea 1
Paradou 2
USF Constantine 0
Frenda 0
ASO Chlef 1
MB Barika 1
Saida 2
Harrach 1
Kabylie 0
USM Alger 3
MO Constantine 0
Arba 0
Mostaganem 1
Saoura 2
Khroub 0
Constantine 3
CR Temouchent 0
Bechar Djedid 0
ES Setif 4
Bejaia 4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik 1
Amal Bou Saada 0
Hussein Dey 1
Wifaq Ain Benian 1
CR Belouizdad 5
Ain Kercha 0
ASM Oran 2
MC Alger 2
Khenchela 1
ES Ben Aknoun 2
ESF Bir El Ater 0
1/8-finals
CA Batna 4
Paradou 3
ASO Chlef 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
USM Alger 3
Mostaganem 0
Saoura 2
Constantine 2
ES Setif 1
Bejaia 3
Hussein Dey 0
CR Belouizdad 3
ASM Oran 0
MC Alger 1
ES Ben Aknoun 0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna 1
Saida 0
USM Alger 1
Saoura 0
Constantine 1
Bejaia 0
CR Belouizdad 3
MC Alger 2
Semi-finals
CA Batna 1
USM Alger 3
Constantine 2
CR Belouizdad 3
Final
USM Alger 2
CR Belouizdad 1
