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USM Alger vs Tadamoun Souf

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2016/2017 Stade Omar Hammadi
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sayoud A.
77' Event
Guessan G.

AI Match Summary

USM Alger play Tadamoun Souf in the Algeria Cup 2016/2017. USM Alger are favorites here. Recently, USM Alger averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Tadamoun Souf averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. In past meetings, USM Alger won 1, Tadamoun Souf won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 24, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for USM Alger and 0.94 for Tadamoun Souf. This points to a USM Alger double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USM Alger
6%
Draws
4%
Tadamoun Souf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • USM Alger has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Tadamoun Souf.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for USM Alger.
  • Cup tournament structure in Algeria Cup 2016/2017 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%
Tadamoun Souf Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger Tadamoun Souf
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 13 3
Draws 11 0
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2016 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs Tadamoun Souf
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Sayoud A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guessan G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Tadamoun Souf Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 85 / 100
Tadamoun Souf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger Tadamoun Souf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Tadamoun Souf let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

USM Alger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tadamoun Souf lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger3
OM Arzew2
Chelghoum0
Frenda1
Skikda2
Guelma1
Bouchegouf0
Beni Douala2
Nasr El Fedjoudj1
Hadjar0
Biskra1
Annaba2
Rouisset2
El Milia1
WAB Tissemsilt0
Kabylie5
Tebessa2
Berrouaghia1
Bouakeul0
RC Oued Rhiou1
Oran2
Eulma0
Bouaziz0
ASO Chlef6
Saoura1
Magra0
ASM Oran1
Constantine2
Staoueli2
El Kerma1
SCM Oran0
ES Setif2
CR Belouizdad1
Bordj Ghedir0
Ain Lhadjar1
US Chaouia2
USM Blida2
Bejaia1
Mahdi0
Saida1
Harrach2
Oued Sly1
Ain Fakroun0
Medea2
CRB Henaya2
Bechar Djedid0
Tadjenant0
Bordj Bou Arreridj1
Hussein Dey1
MO Bejaia0
Ghozlane0
Tighenif1
Khenchela1
Oued Smar0
Oued Fodda1
Paradou3
USM Alger2
Tadamoun Souf0
Azazga1
CA Batna2
RC Relizane2
Mostaganem1
RC Kouba1
Bel Abbes2
1/16-finals
MC Alger1
Frenda0
Skikda0
Beni Douala4
Nasr El Fedjoudj1
Annaba0
Rouisset1
Kabylie2
Tebessa2
RC Oued Rhiou1
Oran1
ASO Chlef2
Saoura1
Constantine0
Staoueli0
ES Setif5
CR Belouizdad2
US Chaouia1
USM Blida0
Saida2
Harrach2
Medea1
CRB Henaya2
Bordj Bou Arreridj3
Hussein Dey2
Tighenif0
Khenchela2
Paradou3
USM Alger1
CA Batna0
RC Relizane0
Bel Abbes2
1/8-finals
MC Alger7
Beni Douala1
Nasr El Fedjoudj0
Kabylie1
Tebessa4
ASO Chlef2
Saoura2
ES Setif3
CR Belouizdad2
Saida1
Harrach0
Bordj Bou Arreridj1
Hussein Dey1
Paradou0
USM Alger0
Bel Abbes1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger1
Kabylie0
Tebessa0
ES Setif4
CR Belouizdad2
Bordj Bou Arreridj1
Hussein Dey0
Bel Abbes4
Semi-finals
MC Alger2
ES Setif3
CR Belouizdad1
Bel Abbes0
Final
ES Setif0
CR Belouizdad1