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USM Alger vs Zamalek Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Stade du 5 Juillet 1962, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Loucif H.
45'
Radouani S.
67'

AI Match Summary

USM Alger in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
USM Alger
30%
Draws
44%
Zamalek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zamalek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zamalek lately — more wins on the board than USM Alger.
  • Zamalek are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Zamalek arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 15%
Zamalek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger Zamalek
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 12 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.1 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Zamalek vs USM Alger
1:1
May 9, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
USM Alger vs Zamalek
1:0
Jun 21, 2017 CAF Champions League
USM Alger vs Zamalek
2:0
Jun 2, 2017 CAF Champions League
Zamalek vs USM Alger
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 23 / 100
Zamalek 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger Zamalek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zamalek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

USM Alger found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Zamalek's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS Zamalek
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
19 Sept
Olympique Akbou
2 : 3
USM Alger
10 Sept
USM Alger
2 : 0
JS El Biar
04 Sept
Khenchela
0 : 0
USM Alger
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
Page 1 of 6

Zamalek

(Away)
16 Sept
Ghazl El Mahallah
0 : 1
Zamalek
12 Sept
Zamalek
4 : 0
Port
08 Sept
Zamalek
2 : 0
Abu Qir Semad
04 Sept
Port
1 : 2
Zamalek
31 Aug
Zamalek
2 : 1
Petrojet
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
AS Maniema 2
USM Alger 2
Olympique de Safi 3
Wydad Athletic 3
Al Masry 1
CR Belouizdad 1
Otoho d'Oyo 2
Zamalek 3
Semi-finals
USM Alger 1
Olympique de Safi 1
CR Belouizdad 0
Zamalek 1
Final
USM Alger 2
Zamalek 1