Sport Picks
USM Oujda vs Olympique de Safi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Morocco
Botola 2 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Botola 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Oujda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to USM Oujda lately — more wins on the board than Olympique de Safi.
- USM Oujda are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Olympique de Safi Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Oujda | Olympique de Safi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 31 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 16 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Olympique de Safi
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 Coupe du Trone
Olympique de Safi vs USM Oujda
2:1
Feb 2, 2025 Excellence Cup
USM Oujda vs Olympique de Safi
1:1
Sep 8, 2024 Excellence Cup
Olympique de Safi vs USM Oujda
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Oujda 59 / 100
Olympique de Safi 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Oujda Olympique de Safi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: USM Oujda scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Defensive concern: Olympique de Safi conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.
USM Oujda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USM Oujda VS Olympique de Safi
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Oujda
(Home) 04 Oct
Chabab Mohammedia
0 : 1 USM Oujda
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1 USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0 USM Oujda
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1 Mouloudia Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1 Chabab Atlas Khenifra
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0 US Boujaad
24 May
USM Oujda
3 : 1 RAC Casablanca
02 May
USM Oujda
1 : 0 Wydad Fes
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Olympique de Safi
(Away) 04 Oct
Olympique de Safi
1 : 0 Chabab Benguerir
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0 Olympique de Safi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0 Olympique de Safi
05 Jul
Olympique de Safi
0 : 2 Raja Casablanca
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1 Olympique de Safi
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
US Boujaad
0 : 0 Olympique de Safi
03 Sept
FAR Rabat
1 : 0 Olympique de Safi
02 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1 Olympique de Safi
25 Jun
Renaissance Zemamra
1 : 1 Olympique de Safi
18 Jun
Berkane
0 : 0 Olympique de Safi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wydad Fes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Yacoub El Mansour | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Ittihad Khemisset | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 4 | USM Oujda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 5 | Jeunesse Massira | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Olympique de Safi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 7 | Olympique Khouribga | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 8 | Chabab Benguerir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 9 | Mouloudia Oujda | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 10 | Dcheira | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 11 | Jeunesse Sportive Soualem | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 12 | US Boujaad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 13 | Stade Marocain | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 14 | KAC Kenitra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 15 | Chabab Mohammedia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Chabab Atlas Khenifra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Botola Pro 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 (Relegation)
