Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes Prediction & H2H Stats

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 2025/2026 game between USM Oujda and Wydad Fes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
USM Oujda
35%
Draws
31%
Wydad Fes
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Wydad Fes's 1.14 goals per match outpaces what USM Oujda have produced (1.03).
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 22%
Wydad Fes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Wydad Fes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
May 14, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 37 / 100
Wydad Fes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Wydad Fes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wydad Fes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wydad Fes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: USM Oujda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

USM Oujda found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Wydad Fes
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
Page 1 of 6

Wydad Fes

(Away)
26 Sept
KAC Kenitra
0 : 1
Wydad Fes
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Wydad Fes
3 : 0
Jeunesse Massira
20 Jun
US Boujaad
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
13 Jun
Wydad Fes
2 : 2
RAC Casablanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)