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USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes

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Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between USM Oujda and Wydad Fes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
USM Oujda
20%
Draws
38%
Wydad Fes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • USM Oujda's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Wydad Fes have produced (0.75).
  • USM Oujda are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Wydad Fes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Wydad Fes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
May 14, 2025 Botola 2
Wydad Fes vs USM Oujda
2:0
Jan 12, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
2:1
Jun 8, 2024 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Wydad Fes
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 51 / 100
Wydad Fes 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Wydad Fes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wydad Fes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: USM Oujda remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

USM Oujda found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Wydad Fes
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318