Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Damour J.
16'
16'
Neto A.
32'
32'
Ple K.
AI Match Summary
USM Senlis in this Coupe de France 2017/2018 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Senlis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- USM Senlis have won more games recently than Choisy Au Bac.
- Model gives USM Senlis a 51% chance of winning this.
- USM Senlis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor USM Senlis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
USM Senlis Clean Sheet 20%
Choisy Au Bac Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Senlis | Choisy Au Bac |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 3, 2017 Coupe de France
USM Senlis vs Choisy Au Bac
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USM Senlis Compare
Top Goalscorer Damour J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Neto A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Choisy Au Bac Compare
Top Goalscorer Ple K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Senlis 40 / 100
Choisy Au Bac 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Senlis Choisy Au Bac
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USM Senlis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
USM Senlis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 5 recent games.
Choisy Au Bac has conceded goals in 60% of their last 5 outings.
USM Senlis went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USM Senlis VS Choisy Au Bac
1.4 Goals Scored 0.8
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.4
80% Over 1.5 60%
80% Over 2.5 40%
40% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Senlis
(Home) 08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
17 Nov
Pont Sainte Maxence
1 : 2 USM Senlis
07 Jan
USM Senlis
0 : 4 Nantes
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
19 Nov
USM Senlis
2 : 1 Vimy
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
07 Jan
USM Senlis
0 : 4 Nantes
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
19 Nov
USM Senlis
2 : 1 Vimy
Choisy Au Bac
(Away) 19 Nov
Douvres
2 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
12 Nov
Quarouble
0 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0 Choisy Au Bac
20 Nov
Choisy Au Bac
1 : 0 La Ferte-bernard
19 Nov
Douvres
2 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
12 Nov
Quarouble
0 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
10 Dec
La Fleche
2 : 0 Choisy Au Bac
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Balma 0
Diables Noirs 1
Romorantin 10
Gueugnon 1
Tour Saint Clair 0
Bressuire 0
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 2
St. Maur Lusitanos 0
Montauban 0
La Brede 1
Change 3
Plancoet-Arguenon FC 0
L'Etoile 1
Saint Lo Manche 4
Nantes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
Quarouble 0
Vimy 1
USM Senlis 2
Schiltigheim 3
Amneville 1
Chantilly 0
Racing Club de France 3
Andrezieux 6
Mont-Pilat 0
Chamalieres 1
Auxerre 3
Troyes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
UL Rombas 2
Thaon 0
Saint Avold 0
Still 1930 2
Nimes 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Sud Ardeche 0
Anduze 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 9
Le Geldar 1
Stade Pontivyen 0
Laval 3
Saumur Olympique 2
Les Sables 1
Liffre 1
Vannes 2
Boulogne 1
Les Ulis 0
Lucciana 2
Arras 3
Reims 2
Geispolsheim 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Lens 5
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 1
ASPTT Caen 0
Feignies-Aulnoye 1
Excelsior 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Tremery 0
Feurs 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Raon L Etape 2
Epernay 0
Olympique Marcquois 1
Fleury-Merogis 2
GFC Ajaccio 4
AS Cagnes-Le Cros 1
Martigues 1
Gemenos 2
Tarbes 4
Merignac 1
Annecy 1
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Vierzon Foot 2
St. Colomban Locmine 1
Vitre 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 1
Bretteville Sur Odon 0
Avranches 0
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 5
Pledran 0
Golden Lion 0
Concarneau 7
Chateauroux 3
Avoine 2
Feytiat 1
Cholet 6
Essartais 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 2
Plomelin 0
Saint-Malo 5
CO Avallon 2
Hauts Lyonnais 1
Vallee de la Gresse 2
Cluses Scionzier 3
Haguenau 2
US Ittenheim 0
AF Virois 0
Chambly 1
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beauvais 1
AJ Petite-Ile 0
Quevilly 1
SC Hazebrouck 2
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bron Grand Lyon 0
Chapelain Foot 0
Bergerac 2
AC Ajaccio 3
Saint-Amand 1
Ales 0
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 8
Pays Argentonnais 0
Bellevue Nantes 2
Limoges 3
Rouen 4
Saint Brice 1
Orleans 1
Chartres 3
Dunkerque 1
Cambrai 0
Itancourt Neuville 1
OS Fives 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 3
Grandvillars 1
Mulhouse 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sene 3
Quimperle 2
Stella Maris Douarnenez 0
Lorient 4
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfort 3
Club Colonial 2
Clermont 0
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Nancy 1
Forbach 0
Porto Portugais 0
Rungis 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Evreux 3
Le Havre 2
FCA Troyes 0
Valenciennes 2
Sannois 7
Lossi 1
Stade Ygossais 0
Paris FC 3
Blanc Mesnil 2
ASC La Courneuve 0
Moulien 2
Epinal 6
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 4
Valdaine 0
Tefana 0
Rodez 3
ES Tarentaise 2
Rivieres 0
Seyssinet 2
Bourg Peronnas 3
Sochaux 2
Villefranche 1
Hegenheim 2
St. Louis Neuweg 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 3
Football Club de Chaumont 0
Marseille Endoume 2
Alberes Argeles 3
Furiani Agliani 1
Compiegne 0
Langon FC 0
Colomiers 1
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 2
Bayonne 0
Tournefeuille 1
Niort 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Romorantin 1
Gueugnon 1
Angouleme CFC 2
Aubervilliers 1
La Brede 0
Change 1
Saint Lo Manche 2
Nantes -
TBD -
Choisy Au Bac 1
USM Senlis 3
Schiltigheim 2
Racing Club de France 1
Andrezieux 1
Auxerre 2
Troyes -
TBD -
UL Rombas 1
Still 1930 2
Nimes 3
Anduze 1
TBD -
St Etienne -
Stade Briochin 2
Laval 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Arras 1
Reims 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Le Mans 3
Excelsior 2
TBD -
Lille -
Biesheim 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Raon L Etape 0
Fleury-Merogis 4
GFC Ajaccio 2
Gemenos 1
Tarbes 0
Grenoble 3
Granville 2
Vitre 1
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Houilles 2
Etoile Matoury 1
Brest 2
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 5
Cholet 3
Essartais 0
Saint-Malo 3
CO Avallon 1
Cluses Scionzier 0
Haguenau 1
Chambly 3
Caen -
TBD -
Beauvais 0
SC Hazebrouck 3
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 3
Bergerac 0
AC Ajaccio 0
Canet Roussillon 2
Tours 4
Limoges 2
Rouen 0
Chartres 2
Dunkerque 2
OS Fives 0
TBD -
Metz -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Morteau Montlebon 1
Pontarlier 2
Angers -
TBD -
Sene 1
Lorient 6
Monaco -
TBD -
Belfort 0
Moulins-Yzeure 3
Nancy 6
Rungis 1
TBD -
Lyon -
Marseille -
TBD -
Evreux 0
Valenciennes 3
Sannois 3
Paris FC 2
Blanc Mesnil 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
AS-Fabregues 2
Rodez 1
ES Tarentaise 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
St. Louis Neuweg 1
TBD -
Amiens SC -
Le Puy-en-Velay 2
Alberes Argeles 0
Furiani Agliani 0
Colomiers 3
Guingamp -
TBD -
Stade Bordelais 0
Niort 1
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Angouleme CFC 1
Aubervilliers 2
Saint Lo Manche 3
Nantes 4
USM Senlis 0
Schiltigheim 1
Auxerre 5
Troyes 1
Still 1930 0
Nimes 0
St Etienne 2
Stade Briochin 2
Vannes 1
Boulogne 2
Lens 3
Strasbourg 3
Dijon 2
Le Mans 2
Lille 4
Biesheim 1
Fleury-Merogis 0
GFC Ajaccio 1
Grenoble 2
Granville 2
Bordeaux 1
Houilles 0
Concarneau 3
Chateauroux 2
Saint-Malo 1
CO Avallon 0
Chambly 2
Caen 2
SC Hazebrouck 0
Sud Nivernais Imphy Decize 1
Canet Roussillon 3
Tours 2
Chartres 1
Dunkerque 2
Metz 4
Montpellier 2
Pontarlier 1
Angers 0
Lorient 2
Monaco 5
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Nancy 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 1
Valenciennes 0
Sannois 1
Epinal 2
Toulouse 1
Nice 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 6
Amiens SC 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Colomiers 2
Guingamp 1
Niort 0
Rennes 1
PSG 6
1/16-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Saint Lo Manche 1
Nantes 3
Auxerre 4
Troyes 2
St Etienne 1
Stade Briochin 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 2
Lille 1
Biesheim 2
Grenoble 3
Granville 3
Concarneau 2
Chateauroux 1
Chambly 2
Caen 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Tours 0
Metz 1
Montpellier 4
Lorient 3
Monaco 2
Lyon 3
Marseille 2
Epinal 0
Toulouse 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
Sochaux 2
Colomiers 1
Guingamp 2
PSG 4
1/8-finals
Les Herbiers 3
Auxerre 0
Troyes 0
Lens 1
Strasbourg 3
Grenoble 0
Granville 0
Chambly 1
Caen 3
Metz 2
Montpellier 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 9
Bourg Peronnas 0
Sochaux 1
PSG 4
Quarter-finals
Les Herbiers 1
Lens 0
Strasbourg 0
Chambly 1
Caen 1
Lyon 0
Marseille 0
PSG 3
Semi-finals
Les Herbiers 2
Chambly 0
Caen 1
PSG 3
Final
Les Herbiers 0
PSG 2
