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USM Setif vs Constantine

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

1 - 2
FT
Constantine Logo

Constantine

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Constantine in this Ligue 2 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constantine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
USM Setif
20%
Draws
36%
Constantine
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: USM Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Constantine have won more games recently than USM Setif.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on USM Setif taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 20%
Constantine Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif Constantine
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2010 Ligue 2
Constantine vs USM Setif
0:1
Oct 31, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Constantine
0:1
May 29, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Constantine
1:2
Dec 26, 2008 Ligue 2
Constantine vs USM Setif
1:0
Feb 8, 2008 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Constantine
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 42 / 100
Constantine 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif Constantine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Setif found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Constantine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: USM Setif stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Constantine
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
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Constantine

(Away)
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
19 May
Constantine
2 : 2
Khenchela
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)