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USM Setif vs MO Bejaia

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

2 - 1
FT
MO Bejaia Logo

MO Bejaia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2008/2009 game between USM Setif and MO Bejaia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Setif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
USM Setif
15%
Draws
58%
MO Bejaia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: MO Bejaia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MO Bejaia come out ahead of USM Setif on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 18%
MO Bejaia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif MO Bejaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2010 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs MO Bejaia
2:1
Oct 16, 2009 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs USM Setif
0:1
Mar 13, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs MO Bejaia
2:1
Sep 25, 2008 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs USM Setif
1:1
Mar 3, 2008 Ligue 2
MO Bejaia vs USM Setif
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 36 / 100
MO Bejaia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif MO Bejaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MO Bejaia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USM Setif scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

MO Bejaia let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

USM Setif has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS MO Bejaia
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 6

MO Bejaia

(Away)
09 May
MO Bejaia
0 : 0
Beni Oulbane
02 May
Annaba
0 : 1
MO Bejaia
21 Apr
MO Bejaia
1 : 0
Khroub
17 Apr
Bordj Menail
0 : 1
MO Bejaia
10 Apr
MO Bejaia
1 : 0
US Chaouia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)