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USM Setif vs Skikda

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

1 - 2
FT
Skikda Logo

Skikda

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2008/2009 game between USM Setif and Skikda finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Skikda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
USM Setif
15%
Draws
12%
Skikda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USM Setif come out ahead of Skikda on wins alone.
  • Model gives USM Setif a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Skikda here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 20%
Skikda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Setif Skikda
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 24
Goals Scored 1.09 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2010 Ligue 2
Skikda vs USM Setif
2:1
Aug 21, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Skikda
1:1
Apr 13, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs Skikda
1:2
Oct 24, 2008 Ligue 2
Skikda vs USM Setif
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Setif 85 / 100
Skikda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Setif Skikda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Setif Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skikda let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

USM Setif scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Skikda's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

USM Setif VS Skikda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Setif

(Home)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 7

Skikda

(Away)
03 Jun
Skikda
2 : 2
Ghozlane
27 May
Mlila
1 : 0
Skikda
16 May
Skikda
0 : 2
US Souf
12 May
Hamra Annaba
1 : 0
Skikda
06 May
Skikda
0 : 4
CA Batna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)