Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague

Czech Republic Czech Republic

ChNL Town Stadium Usti, Usti nad Labem
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Brezina D.
45'
Brezina D.
46'
Sub
Matic A. In: Sebrle S.
Out: Matic A.

AI Match Summary

The ChNL game between Usti nad Labem and Dukla Prague finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Usti nad Labem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Usti nad Labem
20%
Draws
52%
Dukla Prague
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dukla Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Usti nad Labem carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Usti nad Labem a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Usti nad Labem Clean Sheet 15%
Dukla Prague Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Labem Dukla Prague
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.69 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 ChNL
Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague
3:1
Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague
2:2
Jul 12, 2025 Club Friendly
Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague
0:1
Apr 27, 2022 ChNL
Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague
1:1
Oct 23, 2021 ChNL
Dukla Prague vs Usti nad Labem
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Usti nad Labem Compare

Top Goalscorer Brezina D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Do Marcolino F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dukla Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikus R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Labem 57 / 100
Dukla Prague 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Labem Dukla Prague

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usti nad Labem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usti nad Labem's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dukla Prague has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Usti nad Labem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Usti nad Labem VS Dukla Prague
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Usti nad Labem

(Home)
11 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 2
Jihlava
04 Sept
Usti nad Labem
1 : 1
Slavia Prague B
29 Aug
Taborsko
0 : 1
Usti nad Labem
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
21 Aug
Usti nad Labem
3 : 1
Dukla Prague
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Dukla Prague

(Away)
18 Sept
Prostejov
2 : 2
Dukla Prague
11 Sept
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Vlasim
05 Sept
Opava
1 : 2
Dukla Prague
28 Aug
Dukla Prague
3 : 1
Jihlava
25 Aug
Horni Redice
0 : 5
Dukla Prague
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MFK Karvina 9 6 0 3 19:12 18
2 Dukla Prague 9 5 2 2 18:13 17
3 Jihlava 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
4 Usti nad Labem 8 4 3 1 13:8 15
5 Slavia Prague B 9 3 4 2 19:15 13
6 Taborsko 8 3 4 1 12:8 13
7 Pribram 8 3 4 1 13:12 13
8 Ostrava B 8 3 2 3 15:10 11
9 Opava 9 2 4 3 13:15 10
10 Vlasim 8 2 3 3 13:13 9
11 SK Kladno 8 2 3 3 11:12 9
12 FK Ceska Lipa 9 2 3 4 10:16 9
13 Prostejov 9 1 5 3 11:12 8
14 Trinec 8 1 4 3 10:14 7
15 Zizkov 8 2 1 5 5:16 7
16 Kromeriz 9 1 3 5 8:19 6
Promotion - Chance Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Chance Liga (Relegation)