Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Septemvri Dragoevo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Ustrem Donchevo host Septemvri Dragoevo in the Third League - North-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Septemvri Dragoevo have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Ustrem Donchevo have conceded 2.17 and scored 2.1. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 2.31) point toward Ustrem Donchevo. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Dragoevo haven't matched Ustrem Donchevo's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ustrem Donchevo's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Dragoevo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 10 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Septemvri Dragoevo let in goals in 90% of their last 10 matches.
Recent resilience: Ustrem Donchevo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Septemvri Dragoevo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home)Septemvri Dragoevo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 25:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Cherno More II | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 12 | FK Riltzi | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 13 | Olympic Varna | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | 9 |
| 14 | Fratria II | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10:26 | 9 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 19:30 | 7 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5:24 | 0 |