Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Septemvri Tervel
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
Match Events
No DataNo live events recorded yet.
AI Match Summary
Ustrem Donchevo host Septemvri Tervel in the Third League - North-East. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Septemvri Tervel have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Ustrem Donchevo have conceded 2.25 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Ustrem Donchevo have won 0 to Septemvri Tervel's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.31 - 2.69) back Septemvri Tervel to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Septemvri Tervel has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ustrem Donchevo.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Septemvri Tervel.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - North-East provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Septemvri Tervel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 23 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Septemvri Tervel let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Ustrem Donchevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Septemvri Tervel lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |