Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014 Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Svetkavitsa 2014 in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svetkavitsa 2014.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
10%
20%
70%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Svetkavitsa 2014
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ustrem Donchevo lately — more wins on the board than Svetkavitsa 2014.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Svetkavitsa 2014 taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Svetkavitsa 2014 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%
Svetkavitsa 2014 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Svetkavitsa 2014 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014
2:3
Mar 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa 2014 vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Svetkavitsa 2014
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ustrem Donchevo 10 / 100
Svetkavitsa 2014 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ustrem Donchevo Svetkavitsa 2014
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Svetkavitsa 2014 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ustrem Donchevo scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Svetkavitsa 2014's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Ustrem Donchevo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ustrem Donchevo VS Svetkavitsa 2014
2 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home) 26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2 Benkovski
Page 1 of 4
Svetkavitsa 2014
(Away) 26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
1 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 4 Svetkavitsa 2014
30 May
Spartak Varna II
1 : 1 Svetkavitsa 2014
16 May
Chernomorets Balchik
2 : 0 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Chernolomets | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 9 | FK Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Tervel | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:21 | 6 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:23 | 6 |
| 14 | Devnya 2005 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:20 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12:24 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
