Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ustrem Donchevo in this Third League - North-East 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ustrem Donchevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ustrem Donchevo
15%
Draws
85%
Topolite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Topolite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Ustrem Donchevo have won more games recently than Topolite.
  • Model gives Ustrem Donchevo a 0% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 14%
Topolite Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ustrem Donchevo Topolite
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 2.16 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
3:0
Feb 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
3:3
Aug 30, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:3
Mar 28, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Ustrem Donchevo
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ustrem Donchevo 84 / 100
Topolite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ustrem Donchevo Topolite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ustrem Donchevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ustrem Donchevo scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Topolite conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Topolite has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ustrem Donchevo VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ustrem Donchevo

(Home)
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3
Svetkavitsa 2014
26 Aug
Botev Novi Pazar
5 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 7

Topolite

(Away)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 28 22 5 1 81:11 71
2 Chernomorets Balchik 28 19 3 6 72:28 60
3 Septemvri Tervel 28 18 4 6 58:23 58
4 Svetkavitsa 28 18 1 9 67:25 55
5 Dunav Ruse 28 16 5 7 60:33 53
6 Ludogorets III 28 15 6 7 75:29 51
7 Chernolomets 28 15 5 8 60:33 50
8 Shumen 2007 28 16 2 10 67:36 50
9 Ustrem Donchevo 28 14 2 12 62:48 44
10 Dorostol 28 12 2 14 33:50 38
11 Sportist Toshevo 28 8 2 18 35:85 26
12 Botev Novi Pazar 28 6 3 19 24:66 21
13 Topolite 28 5 1 22 25:75 16
14 FK Riltzi 28 2 1 25 22:126 7
15 Kubrat 28 2 2 24 9:82 8
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