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Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2018/2019 game between Ustrem Donchevo and Topolite finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Topolite.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ustrem Donchevo
15%
Draws
64%
Topolite
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Topolite

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Ustrem Donchevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Ustrem Donchevo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 16%
Topolite Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ustrem Donchevo Topolite
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 14 5
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 2.19 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.06 2.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2021 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
3:0
Feb 7, 2021 Club Friendly
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
3:3
Aug 30, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Ustrem Donchevo
1:3
Mar 28, 2020 Third League - North-East
Topolite vs Ustrem Donchevo
0:0
Oct 6, 2019 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Topolite
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ustrem Donchevo 84 / 100
Topolite 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ustrem Donchevo Topolite

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ustrem Donchevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ustrem Donchevo scored in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Topolite has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Difficult form: Topolite registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ustrem Donchevo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ustrem Donchevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
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Topolite

(Away)
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 2
Topolite
16 May
Topolite
2 : 7
Ludogorets III
09 May
Topolite
1 : 3
Dunav Ruse
05 May
Topolite
1 : 4
Chernolomets
01 May
Svetkavitsa
5 : 0
Topolite
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