Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East game between Ustrem Donchevo and Volov Shumen finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Volov Shumen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
15%
78%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Volov Shumen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
78%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Volov Shumen come out ahead of Ustrem Donchevo on wins alone.
- Volov Shumen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
- History favors Volov Shumen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 10%
Volov Shumen Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Volov Shumen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 3.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.1 | 0.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 4.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
2:4
Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
0:6
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo
4:3
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - North-East
Volov Shumen vs Ustrem Donchevo
4:0
Sep 28, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Volov Shumen
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ustrem Donchevo 10 / 100
Volov Shumen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ustrem Donchevo Volov Shumen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Volov Shumen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 5.40 goals when they meet.
Volov Shumen let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Ustrem Donchevo remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ustrem Donchevo VS Volov Shumen
2.25 Goals Scored 4.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Ustrem Donchevo
(Home) 26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2 Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1 Ustrem Donchevo
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 3 Svetkavitsa 2014
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
23 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 2 Benkovski
Page 1 of 4
Volov Shumen
(Away) 26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1 Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
05 Sept
Volov Shumen
9 : 0 Fratria II
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4 Volov Shumen
29 Aug
Dorostol
0 : 3 Volov Shumen
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
30 May
Fratria II
0 : 7 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Chernolomets | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:5 | 13 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 9 | FK Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Tervel | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:21 | 6 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:23 | 6 |
| 14 | Devnya 2005 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:20 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12:24 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:15 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
