Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between USV Hercules and ACV Assen finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ACV Assen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ACV Assen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- ACV Assen's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what USV Hercules have produced (1.62).
- Win probability leans ACV Assen's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
ACV Assen Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | ACV Assen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs ACV Assen
0:3
Sep 20, 2023 KNVB Beker
ACV Assen vs USV Hercules
1:5
Sep 22, 2021 KNVB Beker
USV Hercules vs ACV Assen
1:2
Aug 19, 2017 KNVB Beker
ACV Assen vs USV Hercules
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 10 / 100
ACV Assen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules ACV Assen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ACV Assen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.
USV Hercules scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: ACV Assen conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
USV Hercules has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS ACV Assen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
18 Apr
USV Hercules
3 : 2 Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 3
ACV Assen
(Away) 12 Sept
ACV Assen
5 : 1 Eemdijk
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
ACV Assen
6 : 1 Westlandia
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Aug
HVV Hollandia
0 : 2 ACV Assen
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
22 Aug
HVV Hollandia
0 : 2 ACV Assen
23 May
IJsselmeervogels
2 : 4 ACV Assen
25 Apr
Katwijk
3 : 2 ACV Assen
11 Apr
De Treffers
6 : 2 ACV Assen
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Genemuiden | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:3 | 15 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 12 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 10 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 8 |
| 8 | TEC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:12 | 7 |
| 9 | VV Hoogeveen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 10 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Nijkerk | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 13:14 | 5 |
| 12 | VV DOVO | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Staphorst | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 16 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | 2 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8:18 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lisse | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:0 | 13 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 11 |
| 4 | RKSV UDI 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 10 |
| 5 | SV Poortugaal | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Dongen | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 7 | Excelsior Maassluis | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | GOES | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 | 8 |
| 9 | Roosendaal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 10 | Gemert | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 11 | UNA | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Blauw Geel | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Groene Ster | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 14 | VVSB | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 15 | VV Zwaluwen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | 4 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
