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Stadium Background

USV Hercules vs ADO 20 Heemskerk Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
USV Hercules
15%
Draws
28%
ADO 20 Heemskerk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • USV Hercules haven't matched ADO 20 Heemskerk's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USV Hercules a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
ADO 20 Heemskerk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USV Hercules ADO 20 Heemskerk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.86 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
2:2
Oct 26, 2025 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
1:0
Mar 19, 2023 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs ADO 20 Heemskerk
4:0
Aug 28, 2022 Derde Divisie
ADO 20 Heemskerk vs USV Hercules
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 47 / 100
ADO 20 Heemskerk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USV Hercules ADO 20 Heemskerk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

USV Hercules found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

ADO 20 Heemskerk let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: ADO 20 Heemskerk registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS ADO 20 Heemskerk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
Page 1 of 6

ADO 20 Heemskerk

(Away)
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
20 Sept
Purmersteijn
2 : 1
ADO 20 Heemskerk
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1
VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
SVZW Wierden
4 : 6
ADO 20 Heemskerk
01 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 2
Excelsior Maassluis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)