Sport Picks
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between USV Hercules and DVS '33 Ermelo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- DVS '33 Ermelo haven't matched USV Hercules's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | DVS '33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
3:2
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo
0:2
May 24, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs USV Hercules
4:3
Dec 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs DVS '33 Ermelo
4:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 65 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules DVS '33 Ermelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USV Hercules found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
DVS '33 Ermelo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: USV Hercules stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 3
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Away) 03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
26 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 2 Sportlust
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
22 Sept
GVVV
4 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior 31 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 19 |
| 2 | ACV Assen | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | VV Scherpenzeel | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Genemuiden | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 | 17 |
| 6 | TEC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 | 16 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:13 | 15 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Purmersteijn | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:11 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 22:17 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12:20 | 9 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10:15 | 5 |
| 14 | VV DOVO | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Eemdijk | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9:26 | 3 |
| 16 | Staphorst | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13:23 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9:26 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rijnvogels | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 20 |
| 2 | VV Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:2 | 19 |
| 3 | Lisse | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 7 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 9 | Gemert | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 10 | Blauw Geel | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Roosendaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | SV Poortugaal | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7:20 | 3 |
| 18 | EVV | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
