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Stadium Background

USV Hercules vs Genemuiden

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Genemuiden in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Genemuiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
USV Hercules
15%
Draws
68%
Genemuiden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Genemuiden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Genemuiden lately — more wins on the board than USV Hercules.
  • 68% — that's where the model lands on Genemuiden taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Genemuiden Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USV Hercules Genemuiden
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Genemuiden
0:4
Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs USV Hercules
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Genemuiden
2:0
Feb 1, 2025 Derde Divisie
Genemuiden vs USV Hercules
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Genemuiden
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 10 / 100
Genemuiden 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USV Hercules Genemuiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Genemuiden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USV Hercules's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Genemuiden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: USV Hercules remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS Genemuiden
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4
TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3
USV Hercules
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Genemuiden

(Away)
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0
Genemuiden
12 Sept
Genemuiden
3 : 0
SVZW Wierden
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2
Genemuiden
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 6 5 1 0 15:4 16
2 Harkemase Boys 6 5 1 0 13:7 16
3 Genemuiden 6 5 0 1 14:4 15
4 VV Scherpenzeel 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
5 Excelsior 31 6 4 1 1 16:6 13
6 Sportlust 6 3 3 0 14:9 12
7 Purmersteijn 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
8 TEC 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
9 Sparta Nijkerk 6 2 2 2 17:14 8
10 VV Hoogeveen 6 2 1 3 12:13 7
11 ADO 20 Heemskerk 6 2 1 3 11:12 7
12 DVS '33 Ermelo 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
13 VV DOVO 6 1 2 3 8:13 5
14 Staphorst 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
15 USV Hercules 6 1 0 5 8:20 3
16 Eemdijk 6 1 0 5 7:19 3
17 HVV Hollandia 6 0 1 5 13:20 1
18 SVZW Wierden 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 6 5 1 0 12:0 16
2 Lisse 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
3 Rijnvogels 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
4 Excelsior Maassluis 6 3 2 1 12:5 11
5 RKSV UDI 19 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
6 GOES 6 3 2 1 13:13 11
7 SV Poortugaal 6 3 0 3 8:6 9
8 Dongen 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Blauw Geel 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
10 Gemert 6 1 4 1 10:10 7
11 VVSB 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
12 VV Zwaluwen 6 2 1 3 4:9 7
13 UNA 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Groene Ster 6 1 3 2 10:13 6
15 Roosendaal 6 2 0 4 7:11 6
16 Achilles Veen 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
17 TOGB 6 0 2 4 8:15 2
18 EVV 6 0 1 5 7:16 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)