Sport Picks
USV Hercules vs Lienden Prediction & H2H Stats
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2019/2020 
Match Events
5'
5'
Yasar G.
47'
47'
Yasar G.
64'
64'
Vlug J.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
USV Hercules in this Derde Divisie 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- USV Hercules have won more games recently than Lienden.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 19%
Lienden Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | Lienden |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 19 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.84 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 19, 2020 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Lienden
3:0
Sep 29, 2019 Derde Divisie
Lienden vs USV Hercules
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USV Hercules Compare
Top Goalscorer Yasar G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Lienden Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 36 / 100
Lienden 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules Lienden
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lienden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USV Hercules found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Defensive concern: Lienden conceded in 84% of 19 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Away concern: Lienden has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
Page 1 of 3
Lienden
(Away) 08 Mar
Lienden
1 : 0 HV & CV Quick
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1 Lienden
16 Feb
Lienden
0 : 3 OFC Oostzaan
02 Feb
Lienden
1 : 1 ADO 20 Heemskerk
21 Jan
Lienden
1 : 3 Jong Den Haag
Page 1 of 4
01 Mar
Groene Ster
3 : 1 Lienden
19 Jan
USV Hercules
3 : 0 Lienden
14 Dec
EVV
5 : 0 Lienden
01 Dec
HV & CV Quick
1 : 0 Lienden
17 Nov
HSC '21
1 : 1 Lienden
Page 1 of 2
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Nijkerk | 22 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 58:27 | 52 |
| 2 | ODIN '59 | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 63:30 | 47 |
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43:34 | 42 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 39:30 | 42 |
| 5 | Lisse | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 44:33 | 38 |
| 6 | HSV Hoek | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 54:42 | 34 |
| 7 | Barendrecht | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 37:38 | 34 |
| 8 | Excelsior 31 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 50:40 | 31 |
| 9 | Jong Almere City | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 54:48 | 31 |
| 10 | Ajax (Am) | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 31:38 | 31 |
| 11 | GOES | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 12 | VVSB | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 47:48 | 28 |
| 13 | SteDoCo | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 41:42 | 28 |
| 14 | Ter Leede | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 36:53 | 27 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 45:55 | 22 |
| 16 | ONS Sneek | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 32:72 | 12 |
| 17 | VVOG | 22 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26:59 | 11 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC OSS '20 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 55:24 | 53 |
| 2 | Jong Den Haag | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 47:36 | 39 |
| 3 | OFC Oostzaan | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38:27 | 36 |
| 4 | Gemert | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:42 | 35 |
| 5 | Dongen | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 34:19 | 34 |
| 6 | UNA | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 35:39 | 32 |
| 7 | EVV | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 30:27 | 31 |
| 8 | Blauw Geel | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38:38 | 29 |
| 9 | HSC '21 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:39 | 29 |
| 10 | DEM | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 27 |
| 11 | USV Hercules | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 35:38 | 27 |
| 12 | Groene Ster | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 28:33 | 27 |
| 13 | HV & CV Quick | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29:26 | 26 |
| 14 | Westlandia | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 31:40 | 24 |
| 15 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 29:35 | 21 |
| 16 | Lienden | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 17:39 | 18 |
| 17 | Hoogland | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | 17 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2020/2021 (Main)
Promotion - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2019/2020 (Relegation)
