Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USV Hercules vs TEC

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USV Hercules host TEC in the Derde Divisie. This one's hard to separate. TEC have shipped 1.63 goals a game lately, while USV Hercules have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.66. Past meetings favor USV Hercules slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.81) back USV Hercules to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
USV Hercules
15%
Draws
65%
TEC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TEC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • TEC average 1.77 goals a game right now, well clear of USV Hercules's 1.66.
  • TEC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 11%
TEC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USV Hercules TEC
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs TEC
0:2
Mar 23, 2025 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:0
Oct 20, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs TEC
3:1
Mar 17, 2019 Derde Divisie
TEC vs USV Hercules
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 10 / 100
TEC 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USV Hercules TEC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USV Hercules found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

TEC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: USV Hercules stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS TEC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3
ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3
EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3
USV Hercules
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4
Genemuiden
Page 1 of 7

TEC

(Away)
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4
DVS '33 Ermelo
06 Sept
HVV Hollandia
4 : 5
TEC
01 Sept
TEC
4 : 2
Almkerk
29 Aug
TEC
1 : 2
Sportlust
22 Aug
TEC
3 : 1
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 5 5 0 0 14:3 15
2 ACV Assen 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
3 Harkemase Boys 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
4 VV Scherpenzeel 5 4 0 1 10:7 12
5 Excelsior 31 5 3 1 1 14:6 10
6 Sportlust 5 2 3 0 12:9 9
7 Purmersteijn 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 TEC 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
9 VV Hoogeveen 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
11 Sparta Nijkerk 5 1 2 2 13:14 5
12 VV DOVO 5 1 2 2 8:11 5
13 Staphorst 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
14 Eemdijk 5 1 0 4 7:15 3
15 USV Hercules 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
17 HVV Hollandia 5 0 1 4 12:18 1
18 SVZW Wierden 5 0 1 4 8:18 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 5 5 0 0 11:4 15
2 VV Noordwijk 5 4 1 0 9:0 13
3 Rijnvogels 5 3 2 0 15:6 11
4 RKSV UDI 19 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 SV Poortugaal 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
6 Dongen 5 3 0 2 14:12 9
7 Excelsior Maassluis 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 GOES 5 2 2 1 11:12 8
9 Roosendaal 5 2 0 3 7:6 6
10 Gemert 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
11 UNA 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
12 Blauw Geel 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
13 Groene Ster 5 1 2 2 9:12 5
14 VVSB 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
15 VV Zwaluwen 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
16 Achilles Veen 5 1 0 4 6:16 3
17 TOGB 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
18 EVV 5 0 0 5 6:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)