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Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

NWSL Women America First Field, Sandy, UT
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Match Events

17' Event
Lacasse C.
Assist: Moriya M.
37' Event
Sanchez A.
(Penalty)
44'
Lacasse C.

AI Match Summary

The NWSL Women game between Utah Royals W and North Carolina Courage W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utah Royals W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Utah Royals W
15%
Draws
39%
North Carolina Courage W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Carolina Courage W come out ahead of Utah Royals W on wins alone.
  • Model gives North Carolina Courage W a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina Courage W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W North Carolina Courage W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W
2:1
Jul 25, 2026 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:4
Sep 6, 2025 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:1
May 4, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs North Carolina Courage W
0:2
May 18, 2024 NWSL Women
North Carolina Courage W vs Utah Royals W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacasse C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delzer C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

North Carolina Courage W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 22 / 100
North Carolina Courage W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W North Carolina Courage W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Carolina Courage W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utah Royals W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: North Carolina Courage W conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Utah Royals W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utah Royals W VS North Carolina Courage W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utah Royals W

(Home)
03 Oct
Racing Louisville W
1 : 1
Utah Royals W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
20 Sept
Utah Royals W
0 : 3
Angel City W
13 Sept
Houston Dash W
0 : 1
Utah Royals W
05 Sept
Utah Royals W
1 : 2
Boston Legacy W
Page 1 of 6

North Carolina Courage W

(Away)
03 Oct
Seattle Reign W
0 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
27 Sept
Utah Royals W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
19 Sept
North Carolina Courage W
1 : 2
Gotham FC W
12 Sept
San Diego Wave W
2 : 1
North Carolina Courage W
06 Sept
Chicago Stars W
0 : 6
North Carolina Courage W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gotham FC W 27 16 7 4 35:21 55
2 San Diego Wave W 27 16 3 8 40:28 51
3 Washington Spirit W 27 15 4 8 39:26 49
4 Utah Royals W 27 14 4 9 44:35 46
5 Kansas City Current W 27 13 5 9 48:38 44
6 Angel City W 27 12 7 8 45:29 43
7 Portland Thorns FC W 27 12 7 8 45:39 43
8 North Carolina Courage W 27 13 3 11 50:39 42
9 Seattle Reign W 27 12 4 11 33:32 40
10 Denver Summit W 27 10 8 9 45:37 38
11 Orlando Pride W 27 10 3 14 36:43 33
12 Houston Dash W 27 8 6 13 34:39 30
13 Boston Legacy W 27 8 5 14 36:46 29
14 Bay FC W 27 7 5 15 28:42 26
15 Racing Louisville W 27 7 3 17 36:52 24
16 Chicago Stars W 27 5 2 20 15:63 17
Promotion - NWSL Women (Play Offs)