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Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W

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NWSL Women 2025 America First Field
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AI Match Summary

Utah Royals W play Racing Louisville W in the NWSL Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Utah Royals W averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Racing Louisville W averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. In past meetings, Utah Royals W won 3, Racing Louisville W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Utah Royals W and 1.00 for Racing Louisville W. This points to a Utah Royals W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Utah Royals W
19%
Draws
28%
Racing Louisville W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Utah Royals W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Utah Royals W picked up more points recently compared to Racing Louisville W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Utah Royals W Clean Sheet 23%
Racing Louisville W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Royals W Racing Louisville W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
3:2
Jun 7, 2025 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
3:2
Sep 28, 2024 NWSL Women
Utah Royals W vs Racing Louisville W
1:0
Apr 20, 2024 NWSL Women
Racing Louisville W vs Utah Royals W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utah Royals W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomsen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Racing Louisville W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sears E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonis J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Royals W 52 / 100
Racing Louisville W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Royals W Racing Louisville W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utah Royals W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Utah Royals W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Utah Royals W attacking → ← attacking Racing Louisville W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah Royals W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Racing Louisville W let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Utah Royals W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Racing Louisville W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 25
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kansas City Current W26212349:1365
2Washington Spirit W26128642:3344
3Portland Thorns FC W26117836:2940
4Orlando Pride W26117833:2740
5Seattle Reign W26109732:2939
6San Diego Wave W26107941:3437
7Racing Louisville W26107935:3837
8Gotham FC W2699835:2536
9North Carolina Courage W2698937:3935
10Houston Dash W26861227:3930
11Angel City W26761331:4127
12Utah Royals W26671328:4225
13Bay FC W26481426:4120
14Chicago Stars W263111232:5420