Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Utebo FC

4 - 1

Alfaro

Our Tip

Match Events

Delgado J.

Aguado A.

Morillas Idoate R.

Own Goal

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Utebo FC and Alfaro finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Utebo FC

28%

Draws

22%

Alfaro

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Utebo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Utebo FC come out ahead of Alfaro on wins alone.
Utebo FC are the model's pick here, at 50%.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Utebo FC Clean Sheet 68%

Alfaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Utebo FC	Alfaro
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	12	6
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	19
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Alfaro

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alfaro vs Utebo FC

Possession: 43% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Feb 15, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Alfaro

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:0

Oct 6, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alfaro vs Utebo FC

Possession: 58% - 42% Cards: 2 - 1

4:2

Mar 5, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Alfaro vs Utebo FC

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Aguado A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Alfaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Burusco I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utebo FC 59 / 100

Alfaro 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Utebo FC Alfaro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utebo FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Alfaro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Alfaro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utebo FC VS Alfaro

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25