Sport Picks

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Utebo FC vs SD Ejea

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Navarro Sole G. J.
78' Event
Navarro Sole G. J.
85' Event
Alberca I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Utebo FC
30%
Draws
33%
SD Ejea
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Utebo FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • SD Ejea haven't matched Utebo FC's recent run of results.
  • Utebo FC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 68%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utebo FC SD Ejea
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.28 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.41 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs SD Ejea
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Utebo FC
0:2
Mar 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Utebo FC vs SD Ejea
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Utebo FC
2:2
May 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utebo FC vs SD Ejea
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utebo FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Alberca I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suarez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro Sole G. J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utebo FC 77 / 100
SD Ejea 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utebo FC SD Ejea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utebo FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utebo FC scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Defensive concern: SD Ejea conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Utebo FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utebo FC VS SD Ejea
1.25 Goals Scored 0.86
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Utebo FC

(Home)
19 Sept
Olot
1 : 2
Utebo FC
13 Sept
Utebo FC
1 : 1
SD Logrones
06 Sept
Pena
1 : 1
Utebo FC
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1
UD Casetas
Page 1 of 7

SD Ejea

(Away)
20 Sept
CF Illueca
0 : 2
SD Ejea
13 Sept
SD Ejea
2 : 1
CD Belchite 97
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0
SD Ejea
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)