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Utenis 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utenis 2 play Nevezis Kedainiai in the I Lyga 2017. Nevezis Kedainiai are favorites here. Recently, Utenis 2 averaged 0.79 goals scored and 3.61 conceded. Nevezis Kedainiai averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. In past meetings, Utenis 2 won 0, Nevezis Kedainiai won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 23, 2017 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Utenis 2 and 0.93 for Nevezis Kedainiai. This points to a Nevezis Kedainiai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Utenis 2
15%
Draws
67%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nevezis Kedainiai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Utenis 2 picked up more points recently compared to Nevezis Kedainiai.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Utenis 2 Clean Sheet 24%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis 2 Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 3 9
Draws 1 4
Losses 24 19
Goals Scored 0.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.61 1.91

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2017 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs Utenis 2
4:1
Jun 9, 2017 I Lyga
Utenis 2 vs Nevezis Kedainiai
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kugys E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Liasiukas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 2 21 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 63 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis 2 Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nevezis Kedainiai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nevezis Kedainiai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +80%
10.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Utenis 2 attacking → ← attacking Nevezis Kedainiai

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utenis 2 scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Utenis 2 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nevezis Kedainiai lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palanga28194564:3661
2Banga28185558:2659
3Vilniaus Vytis28166651:2854
4Dainava Alytus28157657:2752
5Dziugas Telsiai28148656:3550
6Koralas Klaipeda281441050:4346
7Nevezis Kedainiai28136941:2845
8FC Stumbras 2281161146:3039
9FC Pakruojis281161140:4639
10FK Panevezys281071145:4437
11Riteriai 2281031537:4433
12Silute28761536:6327
13Tauras Taurage28641834:6022
14Zalgiris 228532039:6518
15Utenis 228312422:10110