Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utenis vs Vilniaus Vytis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utenis play Vilniaus Vytis in the I Lyga 2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Utenis averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Vilniaus Vytis averaged 2.59 goals scored and 1.54 conceded. In past meetings, Utenis won 2, Vilniaus Vytis won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 11, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Utenis and 3.10 for Vilniaus Vytis. This points to a Vilniaus Vytis double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Utenis
15%
Draws
45%
Vilniaus Vytis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vilniaus Vytis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Utenis picked up more points recently compared to Vilniaus Vytis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 3.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Utenis Clean Sheet 10%
Vilniaus Vytis Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis Vilniaus Vytis
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 12 25
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.53 2.59
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Vilniaus Vytis
3:0
Apr 8, 2018 I Lyga
Vilniaus Vytis vs Utenis
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Jurevicius A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Levsinas K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Vilniaus Vytis Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 38 / 100
Vilniaus Vytis 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis Vilniaus Vytis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vilniaus Vytis or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Utenis attacking → ← attacking Vilniaus Vytis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vilniaus Vytis let in goals in 61% of their last 41 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Utenis went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Vilniaus Vytis lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 78
0.33 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
4.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FK Panevezys26184477:2658
2Dainava Alytus26176359:2257
3Banga26180851:2454
4Nevezis Kedainiai26165563:3153
5Dziugas Telsiai26143949:3445
6Vilniaus Vytis26135867:4444
7FC Pakruojis261331044:4442
8Utenis26125946:3341
9FC Stumbras 2261061042:3736
10BE1 NFA26831544:4527
11Riteriai 226751439:5926
12Zalgiris 226631726:5721
13Kupiskis26422046:9114
14Koralas Klaipeda2610255:1113