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Uthai Thani vs Bangkok Utd Prediction & H2H Stats

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Djalo M.
18' Event
Davis B.
Penalty Missed
43' Event
Djalo M.
Assist: Davis B.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Uthai Thani and Bangkok Utd finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Uthai Thani
15%
Draws
45%
Bangkok Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bangkok Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bangkok Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uthai Thani's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 18%
Bangkok Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthai Thani Bangkok Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Bangkok Utd
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Uthai Thani
1:2
Jan 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Bangkok Utd
0:2
Aug 25, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Uthai Thani
0:0
May 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Bangkok Utd vs Uthai Thani
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uthai Thani Compare

Top Goalscorer Djalo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bangkok Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Philipe Maia
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthai Thani 36 / 100
Bangkok Utd 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthai Thani Bangkok Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uthai Thani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Bangkok Utd let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Uthai Thani has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uthai Thani VS Bangkok Utd
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthai Thani

(Home)
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
10 May
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 0
Uthai Thani
Page 1 of 6

Bangkok Utd

(Away)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
05 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 1
Sisaket United
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
02 May
Bangkok Utd
4 : 1
Ayutthaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)