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Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uthai Thani host Chiangrai Utd in the Thai League 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Chiangrai Utd have shipped 1.41 goals a game lately, while Uthai Thani have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.55. Head-to-head, Uthai Thani have won 1 to Chiangrai Utd's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.06) back Uthai Thani to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Uthai Thani
20%
Draws
23%
Chiangrai Utd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Uthai Thani carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uthai Thani's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Thai League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangrai Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthai Thani Chiangrai Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Thai League 1
Chiangrai Utd vs Uthai Thani
1:0
Sep 29, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
3:0
Feb 11, 2024 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Chiangrai Utd
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthai Thani 76 / 100
Chiangrai Utd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthai Thani Chiangrai Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uthai Thani scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Chiangrai Utd conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Uthai Thani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uthai Thani VS Chiangrai Utd
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthai Thani

(Home)
20 Oct
Uthai Thani
2 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Oct
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Uthai Thani
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2
Rasisalai United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
Page 1 of 6

Chiangrai Utd

(Away)
21 Oct
Burapha United
1 : 2
Chiangrai Utd
18 Oct
Chiangrai Utd
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
11 Oct
Prachuap
2 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
19 Sept
Chiangrai Utd
0 : 1
Sisaket United
11 Sept
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Chiangrai Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)