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Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Uthai Thani Provincial Stadium, Uthai Thani
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uthai Thani host Sukhothai in the Thai League 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sukhothai have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Uthai Thani have conceded 1.21 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Uthai Thani slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.50 - 1.31) back Uthai Thani to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Uthai Thani
15%
Draws
32%
Sukhothai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uthai Thani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Sukhothai haven't matched Uthai Thani's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Uthai Thani's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Uthai Thani Clean Sheet 18%
Sukhothai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthai Thani Sukhothai
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.54 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
1:1
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Thai League 1
Uthai Thani vs Sukhothai
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
2:3
Apr 27, 2024 Thai League 1
Sukhothai vs Uthai Thani
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthai Thani 58 / 100
Sukhothai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthai Thani Sukhothai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uthai Thani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sukhothai has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Uthai Thani's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Uthai Thani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uthai Thani VS Sukhothai
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthai Thani

(Home)
17 Oct
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Uthai Thani
10 Oct
Uthai Thani
4 : 2
Rasisalai United
18 Sept
Ayutthaya United
1 : 2
Uthai Thani
12 Sept
Uthai Thani
1 : 2
Pattani
06 Sept
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 4
Uthai Thani
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Sukhothai

(Away)
17 Oct
Sukhothai
5 : 1
Rasisalai United
09 Oct
Ratchaburi
6 : 0
Sukhothai
20 Sept
Sukhothai
2 : 1
Port MTI FC
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
06 Sept
Sukhothai
1 : 3
Buriram United F.C.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
2 Prachuap 5 4 0 1 8:3 12
3 Port MTI FC 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
4 Ratchaburi 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
5 Uthai Thani 5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6 Bangkok Utd 5 3 0 2 8:6 9
7 Rayong FC 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
8 Ayutthaya United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Sisaket United 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Pathum United 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
11 Sukhothai 5 2 0 3 8:12 6
12 Chiangrai Utd 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
13 Lamphun Warrior 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
14 Pattani 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
15 Rasisalai United 5 0 1 4 7:15 1
16 Chonburi 5 0 0 5 4:9 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)