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Uthongathi vs Free State Stars Prediction & H2H Stats

South Africa South Africa

GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Uthongathi
35%
Draws
30%
Free State Stars
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Free State Stars have won more games recently than Uthongathi.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this GladAfrica Championship 2021/2022 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Uthongathi Clean Sheet 18%
Free State Stars Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uthongathi Free State Stars
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Uthongathi vs Free State Stars
0:0
Oct 27, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Uthongathi
2:2
May 8, 2021 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Uthongathi vs Free State Stars
0:1
Dec 23, 2020 Nedbank Cup
Free State Stars vs Uthongathi
2:0
Nov 28, 2020 Motsepe Foundation Championship
Free State Stars vs Uthongathi
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uthongathi 32 / 100
Free State Stars 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uthongathi Free State Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Uthongathi remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Uthongathi scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Free State Stars has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Uthongathi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uthongathi

(Home)
14 May
Uthongathi
4 : 4
NB La Masia
07 May
Magesi
0 : 0
Uthongathi
29 Apr
Polokwane City
0 : 1
Uthongathi
23 Apr
Uthongathi
1 : 1
Venda
09 Apr
Uthongathi
1 : 1
Pretoria Callies
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Free State Stars

(Away)
15 May
Venda
1 : 1
Free State Stars
08 May
Free State Stars
2 : 1
Polokwane City
29 Apr
Platinum City
2 : 2
Free State Stars
23 Apr
Free State Stars
0 : 1
Black Leopards
16 Apr
JDR Stars
0 : 0
Free State Stars
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Richards Bay 30 14 12 4 39:22 54
2 Pretoria U. 30 13 13 4 40:26 52
3 Cape Town All Stars 30 12 12 6 37:26 48
4 JDR Stars 30 12 9 9 32:28 45
5 Venda 30 10 14 6 26:24 44
6 Polokwane City 30 11 8 11 42:37 41
7 Free State Stars 30 10 11 9 26:24 41
8 Uthongathi 30 8 15 7 27:25 39
9 Black Leopards 30 10 9 11 30:29 39
10 Platinum City 30 10 8 12 30:46 38
11 Hungry Lions 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
12 Pretoria Callies 30 10 5 15 33:32 35
13 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 30 9 7 14 26:45 34
14 Cape Town Spurs 30 6 15 9 27:32 33
15 Jomo Cosmos 30 5 13 12 27:34 28
16 TS Sporting 30 7 7 16 22:34 28
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