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Utiel vs Benidorm

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Boyko Y.
25' Event
Cabezas J.
28' Event
Blay G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between Utiel and Benidorm finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Utiel
35%
Draws
37%
Benidorm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benidorm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Benidorm's 1.07 goals per match outpaces what Utiel have produced (1.06).
  • 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Utiel Clean Sheet 68%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Benidorm
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Benidorm
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benidorm vs Utiel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Blay G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Benidorm Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyko Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabezas J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 41 / 100
Benidorm 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Benidorm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utiel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Utiel found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Benidorm has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Utiel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
09 May
Utiel
1 : 0
Vall de Uxo
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
Page 1 of 7

Benidorm

(Away)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)