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Utiel vs Denia

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Utiel Logo

Utiel

2 - 0
FT
Denia Logo

Denia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 game between Utiel and Denia finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utiel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Utiel
35%
Draws
32%
Denia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Utiel carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Utiel's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Utiel Clean Sheet 17%
Denia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Denia
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.08 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Denia
2:0
Nov 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Utiel
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 41 / 100
Denia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Denia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denia let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Utiel scored in 76% of their last 37 games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Utiel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
09 May
Utiel
1 : 0
Vall de Uxo
02 May
Alzira
2 : 2
Utiel
Page 1 of 8

Denia

(Away)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)