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Utiel vs La Nucia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Utiel
30%
Draws
56%
La Nucia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Nucia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Nucia lately — more wins on the board than Utiel.
  • Win probability leans La Nucia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Utiel Clean Sheet 20%
La Nucia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel La Nucia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.9 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs La Nucia
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Utiel
0:2
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
La Nucia vs Utiel
3:0
Dec 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs La Nucia
2:1
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs La Nucia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 10 / 100
La Nucia 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel La Nucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick La Nucia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utiel scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Utiel stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

La Nucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 34% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS La Nucia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.17 Goals Conceded 0.38
67% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 25%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
21 Aug
Utiel
1 : 1
Vall de Uxo
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La Nucia

(Away)
20 Sept
Yeclano
0 : 1
La Nucia
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
06 Sept
La Nucia
1 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Aug
Atzeneta
0 : 3
La Nucia
08 Aug
La Nucia
1 : 2
Alcoyano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellonense 34 20 7 7 56:30 67
2 Atletico Saguntino 34 20 6 8 50:30 66
3 Levante B 34 18 11 5 54:26 65
4 Villarreal C 34 19 6 9 63:36 63
5 La Nucia 34 16 13 5 44:26 61
6 CD Bunol 34 13 11 10 34:40 50
7 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 31:29 49
8 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 13 9 12 32:30 48
9 Torrellano 34 13 8 13 40:38 47
10 Soneja 34 13 6 15 35:42 45
11 Hercules B 34 10 11 13 31:46 41
12 Roda 34 11 7 16 32:45 40
13 Crevillente 34 9 11 14 44:49 38
14 Espanol de San Vicente 34 10 8 16 35:44 38
15 Atzeneta 34 10 7 17 29:39 37
16 Utiel 34 7 10 17 30:45 31
17 Alzira 34 7 10 17 32:49 31
18 Recambios Colon 34 2 13 19 27:55 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2025/2026 (Play Offs)