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Stadium Background

Utiel vs Roda

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Genoves M.
38' Event
Martinez B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 game between Utiel and Roda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Utiel
35%
Draws
47%
Roda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Roda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Roda come out ahead of Utiel on wins alone.
  • Model gives Roda a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Utiel Clean Sheet 20%
Roda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utiel Roda
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 13 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Utiel
3:1
Jan 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
2:0
May 24, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Roda vs Utiel
0:0
May 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Utiel vs Roda
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Genoves M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Roda Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utiel 28 / 100
Roda 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utiel Roda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Roda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utiel scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Roda conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Utiel remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utiel VS Roda
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Utiel

(Home)
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
20 Sept
Soneja
2 : 0
Utiel
12 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Acero
06 Sept
Vall de Uxo
0 : 0
Utiel
28 Aug
Utiel
1 : 3
Ontinyent 1931 CF
Page 1 of 7

Roda

(Away)
27 Sept
Utiel
1 : 1
Roda
19 Sept
Roda
1 : 1
Crevillente
13 Sept
Villarreal C
2 : 1
Roda
06 Sept
Roda
2 : 1
Ontinyent 1931 CF
22 Aug
Roda
1 : 0
Atletico Saguntino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villarreal C 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Vall de Uxo 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
3 Torrent 5 3 1 1 9:5 10
4 Hercules B 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Roda 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
6 Eldense B 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Levante B 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
8 Atletico Saguntino 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
9 Crevillente 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
10 Acero 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 5 2 0 3 6:6 6
12 SC Torrevieja 5 2 0 3 4:7 6
13 CD Bunol 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
14 Espanol de San Vicente 5 1 2 2 6:10 5
15 Atzeneta 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
16 Soneja 5 1 1 3 5:9 4
17 Utiel 5 0 3 2 4:7 3
18 Torrellano 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Play Offs)