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Utrecht U19 vs FC Twente/Heracles U19

Netherlands Netherlands

Divisie 1 U19 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utrecht U19 play FC Twente/Heracles U19 in the Divisie 1 U19 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Utrecht U19 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. FC Twente/Heracles U19 averaged 1.46 goals scored and 2.18 conceded. In past meetings, Utrecht U19 won 1, FC Twente/Heracles U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 28, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Utrecht U19 and 1.63 for FC Twente/Heracles U19. This points to a FC Twente/Heracles U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Utrecht U19
35%
Draws
33%
FC Twente/Heracles U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Twente/Heracles U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Utrecht U19 picked up more points recently compared to FC Twente/Heracles U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Utrecht U19 Clean Sheet 14%
FC Twente/Heracles U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht U19 FC Twente/Heracles U19
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.46
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
Utrecht U19 vs FC Twente/Heracles U19
3:1
Apr 25, 2025 Divisie 1 U19
FC Twente/Heracles U19 vs Utrecht U19
2:2
Nov 23, 2024 Divisie 1 U19
FC Twente/Heracles U19 vs Utrecht U19
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 Divisie 1 U19
Utrecht U19 vs FC Twente/Heracles U19
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht U19 32 / 100
FC Twente/Heracles U19 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht U19 FC Twente/Heracles U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Twente/Heracles U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Utrecht U19 attacking → ← attacking FC Twente/Heracles U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utrecht U19 scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

FC Twente/Heracles U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Utrecht U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Twente/Heracles U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 29
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSV U191492336:1929
2Ajax U191484236:2028
3Feyenoord U191465322:1723
4AZ Alkmaar U191455435:2020
5Utrecht U191445524:2717
6Willem II U191434727:3813
7FC Twente/Heracles U191434718:3413
8Zwolle U191423917:409