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Stadium Background

Utrecht vs De Graafschap

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
de Jong F.
4' Event
Min D.
41' Event
de Jong F.

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Utrecht
20%
Draws
30%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than De Graafschap.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 10%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht De Graafschap
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.89
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
1:2
Feb 17, 2019 Eredivisie
De Graafschap vs Utrecht
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
5:0
Oct 6, 2016 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
0:0
Apr 20, 2016 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Min D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer de Jong F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 34 / 100
De Graafschap 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick De Graafschap Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

De Graafschap has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Utrecht scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Utrecht went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS De Graafschap
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3
G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
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De Graafschap

(Away)
20 Sept
De Graafschap
1 : 2
NAC Breda
11 Sept
FC Emmen
1 : 2
De Graafschap
04 Sept
Heracles
5 : 0
De Graafschap
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4
Almere City
23 Aug
Venlo
2 : 1
De Graafschap
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