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Utrecht vs De Graafschap

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
de Jong F.
4' Event
Min D.
41' Event
de Jong F.

AI Match Summary

De Graafschap in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored De Graafschap.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Utrecht
6%
Draws
4%
De Graafschap
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: De Graafschap at 1.75 per game, Utrecht at 1.38.
  • Model gives Utrecht a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 13%
De Graafschap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht De Graafschap
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
1:2
Feb 17, 2019 Eredivisie
De Graafschap vs Utrecht
0:1
Nov 25, 2018 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
5:0
Oct 6, 2016 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
0:0
Apr 20, 2016 Eredivisie
Utrecht vs De Graafschap
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Min D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

De Graafschap Compare

Top Goalscorer de Jong F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 84 / 100
De Graafschap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht De Graafschap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

De Graafschap has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

De Graafschap lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS De Graafschap
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
24 May
Ajax
2 : 1
Utrecht
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2
Heerenveen
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De Graafschap

(Away)
17 Jul
De Graafschap
3 : 6
Telstar
12 Jul
De Graafschap
1 : 2
AEK
03 Jul
Heerenveen
7 : 2
De Graafschap
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
09 May
De Graafschap
2 : 2
Almere City
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