Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht vs V-Varen Nagasaki

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Thiago
(Penalty)
88' Event
Yoneda S.
103' Event
Pohl F.

AI Match Summary

Utrecht in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Utrecht
20%
Draws
38%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Utrecht

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to V-Varen Nagasaki lately — more wins on the board than Utrecht.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Utrecht taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs V-Varen Nagasaki
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohl F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Arguioui R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 42 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

V-Varen Nagasaki let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Utrecht scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Away concern: V-Varen Nagasaki has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
07 Jul
Utrecht
0 : 1
Apollon Limassol
27 Jun
Utrecht
1 : 2
De Graafschap
24 May
Ajax
2 : 1
Utrecht
21 May
Utrecht
3 : 2
Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6

V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
17 Jul
Utrecht
3 : 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
14 Jul
Nijmegen
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
06 Jun
Mito
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
30 May
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 0
Mito
23 May
Kyoto
1 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
Page 1 of 6