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Utrecht vs V-Varen Nagasaki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Thiago
(Penalty)
88' Event
Yoneda S.
103' Event
Pohl F.

AI Match Summary

Utrecht in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Utrecht.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Utrecht
30%
Draws
41%
V-Varen Nagasaki
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: V-Varen Nagasaki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Utrecht lately — more wins on the board than V-Varen Nagasaki.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on V-Varen Nagasaki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Utrecht Clean Sheet 20%
V-Varen Nagasaki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht V-Varen Nagasaki
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 2
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.55 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Utrecht vs V-Varen Nagasaki
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht Compare

Top Goalscorer Pohl F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Arguioui R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

V-Varen Nagasaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoneda S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht 16 / 100
V-Varen Nagasaki 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht V-Varen Nagasaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick V-Varen Nagasaki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

V-Varen Nagasaki let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Utrecht scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Utrecht remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht VS V-Varen Nagasaki
1.43 Goals Scored 1.38
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 75%
86% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht

(Home)
20 Sept
Feyenoord
5 : 0
Utrecht
13 Sept
Excelsior
1 : 2
Utrecht
08 Sept
Utrecht
3 : 3
G.A. Eagles
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6
PSV
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3
Utrecht
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V-Varen Nagasaki

(Away)
07 Oct
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
29 Sept
Gainare Tottori
2 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0
Nagoya Grampus
09 Sept
Kochi United
0 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
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