Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs Ajax W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Van Dijk E.
34' Event
Van Dijk E.
Assist: Noordam N.
37'
Vos L.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women game between Utrecht W and Ajax W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Utrecht W
20%
Draws
51%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ajax W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 15%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W Ajax W
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
8:0
Mar 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Dijk E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 31 / 100
Ajax W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utrecht W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Utrecht W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ajax W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS Ajax W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
07 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 1
Hera United W
02 Aug
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Utrecht W
28 Jul
Utrecht W
2 : 2
De Graafschap W
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Ajax W

(Away)
02 Sept
Real Madrid W
2 : 1
Ajax W
26 Aug
Ajax W
0 : 2
Real Madrid W
22 Aug
Ajax W
1 : 0
PEC Zwolle W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
08 Aug
Ajax W
2 : 1
Rangers W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 AZ Alkmaar W 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Ajax W 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 PSV W 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
5 Feyenoord W 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
6 De Graafschap W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Utrecht W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
8 Heerenveen W 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
9 PEC Zwolle W 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
10 Den Haag W 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)