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Utrecht W vs Ajax W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Van Dijk E.
34' Event
Van Dijk E.
Assist: Noordam N.
37'
Vos L.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women game between Utrecht W and Ajax W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ajax W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Utrecht W
15%
Draws
57%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ajax W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ajax W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ajax W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W Ajax W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 16
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.48 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 2.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
8:0
Mar 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs Ajax W
1:1
Nov 16, 2024 Eredivisie Women
Ajax W vs Utrecht W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Van Dijk E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.14
Avg xA / game 1.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 10 / 100
Ajax W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utrecht W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Ajax W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Ajax W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS Ajax W
0.57 Goals Scored 3
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
25 Oct
Utrecht W
1 : 0
Den Haag W
04 Oct
Twente W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
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Ajax W

(Away)
28 Oct
Ajax W
1 : 2
Malmo FF W
18 Oct
Ajax W
1 : 4
PSV W
04 Oct
Feyenoord W
1 : 4
Ajax W
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 8 7 1 0 30:4 22
2 Ajax W 8 6 0 2 21:10 18
3 PSV W 8 5 1 2 21:9 16
4 De Graafschap W 8 4 0 4 11:12 12
5 AZ Alkmaar W 8 4 0 4 9:17 12
6 Heerenveen W 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
7 PEC Zwolle W 8 2 2 4 14:18 8
8 Den Haag W 8 2 1 5 12:26 7
9 Feyenoord W 8 2 0 6 9:21 6
10 Utrecht W 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)