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Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Sun, Nov 22, 2026
VS
03:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utrecht W host AZ Alkmaar W in the Eredivisie Women. This one's hard to separate. Utrecht W have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against AZ Alkmaar W's 1.57 scored and 2.03 conceded. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar W slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back AZ Alkmaar W to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Utrecht W
15%
Draws
85%
AZ Alkmaar W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AZ Alkmaar W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AZ Alkmaar W lately — more wins on the board than Utrecht W.
  • Model gives Utrecht W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 15%
AZ Alkmaar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W AZ Alkmaar W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.89 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:0
Mar 29, 2026 Eredivisie Women
AZ Alkmaar W vs Utrecht W
1:1
Nov 16, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
3:3
Mar 22, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs AZ Alkmaar W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 35 / 100
AZ Alkmaar W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W AZ Alkmaar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AZ Alkmaar W conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Utrecht W's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

AZ Alkmaar W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS AZ Alkmaar W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
04 Oct
Twente W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
27 Sept
Heerenveen W
2 : 0
Utrecht W
19 Sept
Utrecht W
0 : 3
Feyenoord W
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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AZ Alkmaar W

(Away)
04 Oct
De Graafschap W
3 : 0
AZ Alkmaar W
27 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
0 : 5
Twente W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
3 : 1
PSV W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Twente W 7 7 0 0 29:3 21
2 Ajax W 7 6 0 1 20:6 18
3 PSV W 7 4 1 2 17:8 13
4 AZ Alkmaar W 7 4 0 3 9:16 12
5 De Graafschap W 7 3 0 4 10:12 9
6 Heerenveen W 7 2 2 3 11:13 8
7 PEC Zwolle W 7 2 1 4 13:17 7
8 Den Haag W 7 2 1 4 12:25 7
9 Feyenoord W 7 2 0 5 9:20 6
10 Utrecht W 7 0 1 6 4:14 1
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)