Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrecht W vs PEC Zwolle W

Netherlands Netherlands

Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Paliama J.
46'
Sub
Werkhoven I. In: Verhoeve S.
Out: Werkhoven I.
46'
Sub
Horst M. In: Van Drogen M.
Out: Horst M.

AI Match Summary

The Eredivisie Women 2025/2026 game between Utrecht W and PEC Zwolle W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrecht W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Utrecht W
20%
Draws
40%
PEC Zwolle W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • PEC Zwolle W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Utrecht W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Utrecht W Clean Sheet 10%
PEC Zwolle W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrecht W PEC Zwolle W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.74 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs PEC Zwolle W
3:4
Apr 5, 2026 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs PEC Zwolle W
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Utrecht W
1:2
May 17, 2025 Eredivisie Women
Utrecht W vs PEC Zwolle W
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Eredivisie Women
PEC Zwolle W vs Utrecht W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrecht W Compare

Top Goalscorer Paliama J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dap R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

PEC Zwolle W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrecht W 34 / 100
PEC Zwolle W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrecht W PEC Zwolle W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PEC Zwolle W conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Utrecht W's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Away concern: PEC Zwolle W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrecht W VS PEC Zwolle W
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrecht W

(Home)
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
AZ Alkmaar W
1 : 0
Utrecht W
22 Aug
PSV W
1 : 1
Utrecht W
16 Aug
Utrecht W
0 : 1
Ajax W
07 Aug
Utrecht W
2 : 1
Hera United W
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PEC Zwolle W

(Away)
13 Sept
Utrecht W
3 : 4
PEC Zwolle W
06 Sept
PEC Zwolle W
2 : 4
Den Haag W
22 Aug
Ajax W
1 : 0
PEC Zwolle W
16 Aug
PEC Zwolle W
0 : 2
PSV W
09 Aug
RB Leipzig W
1 : 1
PEC Zwolle W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV W 22 17 3 2 56:15 54
2 Ajax W 22 15 5 2 55:18 50
3 Feyenoord W 22 14 5 3 45:17 47
4 Twente W 22 14 4 4 55:19 46
5 Utrecht W 22 11 4 7 41:37 37
6 PEC Zwolle W 22 11 1 10 35:32 34
7 Heerenveen W 22 8 2 12 38:51 26
8 AZ Alkmaar W 22 6 6 10 36:46 24
9 Den Haag W 22 6 4 12 24:45 22
10 Hera United W 22 5 5 12 24:42 20
11 SBV Excelsior W 22 2 2 18 18:51 8
12 NAC Breda W 22 2 1 19 17:71 7
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women (Qualification)