Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Martinez J.
35'
35'
Martinez J.
65'
65'
Castro C.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Utrillas and Almudevar finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Almudevar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Almudevar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 68%
Almudevar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrillas | Almudevar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Almudevar
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Utrillas
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Utrillas
2:2
Nov 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Almudevar
1:0
Mar 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Almudevar vs Utrillas
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utrillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Castro C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Redolar D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Almudevar Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utrillas 42 / 100
Almudevar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utrillas Almudevar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Almudevar let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Utrillas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Away concern: Almudevar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Utrillas VS Almudevar
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Utrillas
(Home) 10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2 CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0 Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2 Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 La Almunia
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2 CD Caspe
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 La Almunia
29 Mar
Utrillas
0 : 2 CD Belchite 97
14 Mar
Utrillas
4 : 2 Robres
Page 1 of 3
Almudevar
(Away) 13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1 Almudevar
06 Sept
Almudevar
1 : 0 SD Ejea
10 May
Almudevar
3 : 2 Huesca B
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0 Almudevar
23 Apr
Almudevar
0 : 1 CF Illueca
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1 Almudevar
03 May
CD Cuarte
2 : 0 Almudevar
19 Apr
CD Caspe
2 : 0 Almudevar
02 Apr
UD Casetas
3 : 1 Almudevar
21 Mar
La Almunia
3 : 0 Almudevar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
