Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utrillas vs Binefar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Penella M.
32' Event
Kombe M.
43' Event
Chicho

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Utrillas and Binefar finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utrillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Utrillas
20%
Draws
44%
Binefar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Binefar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binefar come out ahead of Utrillas on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 10%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas Binefar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Utrillas
5:0
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs Utrillas
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
0:2
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Binefar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utrillas Compare

Top Goalscorer Penella M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kombe M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Binefar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chicho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 30 / 100
Binefar 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas Binefar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Binefar has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Utrillas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Binefar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS Binefar
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

Binefar

(Away)
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0
Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3
Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4
Binefar
09 May
Andorra CF
4 : 3
Binefar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)