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Utrillas vs Calamocha

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
Torcal Guiu D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Utrillas and Calamocha finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Calamocha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Utrillas
20%
Draws
51%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Utrillas haven't matched Calamocha's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 14%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utrillas Calamocha
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 18
Draws 12 5
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Calamocha
0:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Utrillas
3:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Calamocha
0:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Utrillas
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Calamocha
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utrillas 35 / 100
Calamocha 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utrillas Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Utrillas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Utrillas's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Calamocha conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Utrillas VS Calamocha
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utrillas

(Home)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
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Calamocha

(Away)
13 Sept
Espanyol B
5 : 0
Calamocha
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)