Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Kombe M.
25'
25'
Pelegrin J.
32'
32'
Gracia H.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Utrillas and La Almunia finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Almunia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- La Almunia carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 14%
La Almunia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utrillas | La Almunia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs La Almunia
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Utrillas
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs La Almunia
1:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Utrillas
2:2
Feb 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Almunia vs Utrillas
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utrillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Kombe M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Pelegrin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
La Almunia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gracia H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Miguel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utrillas 31 / 100
La Almunia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utrillas La Almunia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Almunia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
La Almunia has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Utrillas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Utrillas scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Utrillas VS La Almunia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Utrillas
(Home) 10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2 CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0 Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2 Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 La Almunia
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2 CD Caspe
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 La Almunia
29 Mar
Utrillas
0 : 2 CD Belchite 97
14 Mar
Utrillas
4 : 2 Robres
Page 1 of 3
La Almunia
(Away) 19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1 Binefar
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0 La Almunia
06 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 2 Huesca B
09 May
Robres
0 : 1 La Almunia
03 May
La Almunia
0 : 1 Epila
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Zaragoza B
2 : 0 La Almunia
09 May
Robres
0 : 1 La Almunia
26 Apr
CD Belchite 97
1 : 2 La Almunia
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 La Almunia
29 Mar
Atletico Monzon
2 : 1 La Almunia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
