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Uttaradit FC vs Nakhon Pathom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uttaradit FC host Nakhon Pathom in the Thai League 2. This one's hard to separate. Nakhon Pathom have shipped 1.2 goals a game lately, while Uttaradit FC have conceded 1.67 and scored 1.5. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward Uttaradit FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Uttaradit FC
30%
Draws
33%
Nakhon Pathom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uttaradit FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nakhon Pathom have won more games recently than Uttaradit FC.
  • Win probability leans Uttaradit FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Uttaradit FC Clean Sheet 18%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uttaradit FC Nakhon Pathom
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uttaradit FC 58 / 100
Nakhon Pathom 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uttaradit FC Nakhon Pathom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uttaradit FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uttaradit FC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Nakhon Pathom's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Uttaradit FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nakhon Pathom lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uttaradit FC VS Nakhon Pathom
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uttaradit FC

(Home)
18 Oct
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 2
Uttaradit FC
15 Oct
Uttaradit FC
1 : 1
Satun FC
11 Oct
Mahasarakham
2 : 3
Uttaradit FC
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 3

Nakhon Pathom

(Away)
20 Oct
Uthai Thani
2 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
17 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
4 : 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya
14 Oct
Chanthaburi
3 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
10 Oct
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 7 5 0 2 11:5 15
2 Chainat Hornbill 7 4 1 2 11:9 13
3 Uttaradit FC 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 7 3 2 2 15:12 11
5 Satun FC 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
6 Kanchanaburi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
7 Chiangmai United 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
8 Police Tero 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Phrae United 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
10 Nakhon Pathom 7 2 4 1 8:9 10
11 Muang Loei Utd 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
12 Chanthaburi 7 2 3 2 8:5 9
13 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
14 Muang Thong Utd 7 2 2 3 3:6 8
15 Pattaya United 7 2 2 3 6:12 8
16 Songkhla 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
17 Mahasarakham 7 0 4 3 6:12 4
18 Kasetsart 7 1 1 5 6:14 4
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