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UWA Nedlands vs Inglewood Utd

Australia Australia

WA State League UWA Sports Park
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AI Match Summary

UWA Nedlands play Inglewood Utd in the WA State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, UWA Nedlands averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Inglewood Utd averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. In past meetings, UWA Nedlands won 2, Inglewood Utd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 6, 2026 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for UWA Nedlands and 1.13 for Inglewood Utd. This points to a UWA Nedlands double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
UWA Nedlands
15%
Draws
37%
Inglewood Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UWA Nedlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • UWA Nedlands picked up more points recently compared to Inglewood Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
UWA Nedlands Clean Sheet 21%
Inglewood Utd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UWA Nedlands Inglewood Utd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.23 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Inglewood Utd
4:0
Jun 28, 2025 WA State League
Inglewood Utd vs UWA Nedlands
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 WA State League
UWA Nedlands vs Inglewood Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UWA Nedlands Compare

Top Goalscorer McInnes J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Perez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Inglewood Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UWA Nedlands 47 / 100
Inglewood Utd 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UWA Nedlands Inglewood Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UWA Nedlands or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UWA Nedlands attacking → ← attacking Inglewood Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UWA Nedlands scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Inglewood Utd let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

UWA Nedlands went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Inglewood Utd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

57 Points in last 5 47
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Floreat Athena16113238:1636
2UWA Nedlands16112338:1935
3Mandurah City1692538:2829
4Joondalup City1691628:2328
5Kingsley Westside1681726:2225
6Inglewood Utd1673614:1724
7Quinns1663721:3121
8Cockburn City1654728:3319
9Gwelup Croatia SC1646623:3118
10Murdoch University Melville1637626:3116
11Subiaco16311226:3910
12Curtin University16231111:279